Taking a Stance
Taking a Stance
Multi-agent systems, in which several distinct and independent entities interact with one another, suffer from a key challenge: the complexity of the interactions within the system grows exponentially as the number of interacting agents increases. This same model maps to organizations and even the lives of individuals.
As leaders attempting to develop and execute effective strategies, we are often faced with the need to predict system behaviour and make decisions based on those predictions. As the number of entities within our strategic model grows, our ability to accurately predict outcomes decreases.
In this post I propose a model for estimating our prediction accuracy, common pitfalls and the impact they have, and a model which enables us to take appropriate actions regardless.